Scoring & Tiers
Score
0–100 composite score. Higher = stronger edge. Made up of 5 components: Hit Rate 30pts · Minutes 28pts · Matchup 17pts · Line Move 15pts · Proj Gap 10pts.
Elite
80+ — Highest confidence. Hit rate + all signals aligned.
Strong
63–79 — Multiple strong signals. Good plays.
Value
50–62 — Some signal but incomplete. Use with caution.
Score Components (max points each)
Hit Rate (30)
Most important signal. How often the player hit this exact line in L5 and L10 games. L5 ≥ 80% + L10 ≥ 75% = full 30pts. L5 below 35% = 0 pts regardless of L10.
Minutes (28)
Player's recent minutes vs season average. ↑ trending up = more opportunity. Playing fewer minutes = hard to hit any stat line.
Def. Matchup (17)
Opponent's defensive rank for this stat type. #1–5 = worst defense = most points/rebounds/assists allowed.
Line Move (15)
How much the line moved from open. Move in your direction = sharp money signal. Useful but not decisive on its own.
Proj. Gap (10)
Model projection vs current line. 20%+ above line = full 10pts. Uses min × per-min rate × matchup multiplier. Can be unreliable if season sample is small.
Table Columns
Move
↑ = line moved up (harder to hit over). For unders, down moves are favorable. Sharp money signal.
Proj
Model's projected stat using season avg minutes × per-minute production × matchup multiplier.
Edge%
How much projection exceeds the line. Positive = model likes the over.
L5 / L10
Hit rate over last 5 and 10 games for this exact prop. From DraftKings data.
Min
Season average minutes. Arrow shows trend: ▲ up, ▼ down, → stable.
Conf
Sample size confidence. Green = 8+ games, Yellow = 4–7, Red = under 4.
Results Tab
Logging
Click any prop → detail panel → "+ Log Result After Game". Enter WIN / LOSS / PUSH after the game ends.
Live Tracker
When games are in progress, the Results tab shows KOTC live stats for any props you logged today, updated in real time.
Hit Rate
Your personal hit rate tracked over time. Elite hit rate = only your logged Elite-tier props.